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NRIOL.COM - Forex News and Analysis |
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April 24, 2001
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Rupee ends steady
Spot rupee closed virtually unchanged from Friday’s closing levels at 46.8150/82 amid subdued trading. The Indian unit climbed to a high of 46.78 in early trade as banks sold dollars anticipating adequate supplies from FII and exporters. Importer buying interest at these levels curtailed further gains and a late round of short covering saw the dollar recover its losses. Call was comfortable around the 7.00%-7.30% levels despite a bond auction, amid ample liquidity. Premia traded with a steady bias with the benchmark 6-month forward closing at 4.86% annualized as compared to Friday’s 4.84%. The BSE Sensex climbed to a high of 3637 with gains in old economy stocks before profit taking towards the close saw it pare its gains. The index closed 4 points up at 3587.
Yen rallies, Euro falters
The strong showing of the supposedly pro-reform Koizumi in the Japanese prime ministerial elections buoyed the Yen. USD/JPY fell to a low of 121.12 and closed just above the lows while EUR/YEN dropped to 108.77. The Euro also faltered against the dollar following comments from Duisenberg hinting that a rate cut might not happen in the near future. Earlier, German industry called for an easing in interest rates following a sharp fall in business confidence to 93.9. But Italian April inflation came in at 3.1% compounding the ECB’s dilemma. The Australian dollar crashed to a low of $0.5040 from $0.5203 after the government rejected Shell’s bid for a local oil company. The Nasdaq dropped 104 points to 2059 following downgrades of key tech companies while the Dow closed 48 points down at 10532.
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| Interbank Indian Rupee Markets |
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Rupees per dollars
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Spot |
1 Month |
3 months |
6 months |
12 months |
| Bank Sells at |
46.8600 |
47.0534 |
47.4002 |
48.0100 |
49.2533 |
| Bank Buys at |
46.8550 |
47.0337 |
47.3760 |
47.9950 |
49.2283 |
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| FxForwards |
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Percentages
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1 Month |
3 Months |
6 Months |
12 Months |
| USD Libor |
4.51 |
4.38 |
4.28 |
4.36 |
| Forward Premium |
4.76 |
4.53 |
4.89 |
5.09 |
| Implied Deposit |
9.27 |
8.91 |
9.17 |
9.45 |
| Sovereign Zero Coupon |
9.18 |
9.24 |
9.23 |
9.24 |
| Arbitrage |
-0.09 |
0.33 |
0.06 |
-0.21 |
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Source: Mecklai Financial Services
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